End in sight? Hormuz, nukes at the heart of US-Iran sticking points

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End in sight? Hormuz, nukes at the heart of US-Iran sticking points

End in sight? Hormuz, nukes at the heart of US-Iran sticking points

Middle East

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THE DEBATE

THE DEBATE © FRANCE 24

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From the show

The Debate

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Three months into what was originally billed as four-week war, is an end really in sight? Donald Trump’s messaging on bargaining with Iran was enough to push Brent crude oil below $100 a barrel for the first time in two weeks. Both Washington and Tehran are managing expectations of a final deal or “memorandum of understanding”.

Time is not on Trump‘s side, what with a World Cup to host in less than three weeks and inflation that’s fast erasing the sweetener of tax breaks for voters ahead of the November midterm elections. But if inflation’s bad in the US, Iran has economic ruin to contend with. So again, who blinks first?

Read morePossible Iran-US deal: What we know about the key issues on both sides

And how do regional players align? Gulf states are divided between hawks – led by the United Arab Emirates, who’ve drawn closer to Israel in this conflict – and doves, led by the Strait of Hormuz‘s other frontline state Oman.

So which is it: a deal, a return to war or permanent state of limbo over the world’s biggest choke point for oil and gas?

Produced by François Picard, Rebecca Gnignati, Jean-Vincent Russo, Charles Wente.

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15 thoughts on “End in sight? Hormuz, nukes at the heart of US-Iran sticking points

  1. When you look at time is not on Trump’s side, what with a World Cup to host in less than three weeks and inflation that’s fast erasing the sweetener of tax breaks for voters ahead of the November midterm elections, the implications are hard to ignore.

  2. The detail about so which is it: a deal, a return to war or permanent state of limbo over the world’s biggest choke point for oil and gas? is something people should sit with.

  3. Basically so which is it: a deal, a return to war or permanent state of limbo over the world’s biggest choke point for oil and gas?. What matters is whether anything changes because of it.

  4. Basically time is not on Trump’s side, what with a World Cup to host in less than three weeks and inflation that’s fast erasing the sweetener of tax breaks for voters ahead of the November midterm elections. What matters is whether anything changes because of it.

  5. The fact that so which is it: a deal, a return to war or permanent state of limbo over the world’s biggest choke point for oil and gas? really puts things into perspective.

  6. Think about it: time is not on Trump’s side, what with a World Cup to host in less than three weeks and inflation that’s fast erasing the sweetener of tax breaks for voters ahead of the November midterm elections. That speaks volumes.

  7. On one hand one of your browser extensions seems to be blocking the video player from loading. But at the same time three months into what was originally billed as four-week war, is an end really in sight? .

  8. Think about it: so which is it: a deal, a return to war or permanent state of limbo over the world’s biggest choke point for oil and gas?. That speaks volumes.

  9. What stands out is time is not on Trump’s side, what with a World Cup to host in less than three weeks and inflation that’s fast erasing the sweetener of tax breaks for voters ahead of the November midterm elections. That is the part worth paying attention to.

  10. The detail about time is not on Trump’s side, what with a World Cup to host in less than three weeks and inflation that’s fast erasing the sweetener of tax breaks for voters ahead of the November midterm elections is something people should sit with.

  11. When you look at three months into what was originally billed as four-week war, is an end really in sight? , the implications are hard to ignore.

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